Is A Major Bitcoin Dip Coming? What the Coinbase Index Tells Us

An analyst from the CryptoQuant QuickTake platform has now drawn attention to a particular trend tied to the Coinbase Premium Index (CPI) which currently suggests a grim move brewing for Bitcoin.

This indicator, when placed with its Simple Moving Average over 14 days (SMA14), has often shown a significant correlation with Bitcoin’s selling pressure, shedding light on how crucial its impact is on the market.

Bull or Bear: What the Coinbase Index Tells Us

Before diving into what the Coinbase Premium Index is currently signalling for Bitcoin, it is worth explaining further the essence of this indicator to grasp the credibility of it. Notably, the Coinbase Premium Index (CPI) is an analytical tool that measures the variance between Bitcoin’s price on Coinbase Pro and its price on other major exchanges.

A negative CPI value suggests that Bitcoin is trading at a lower price on Coinbase Pro compared to other platforms, which typically indicates a selling pressure in the US market.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Eyes $63,000: Key Indicators Signal Further Decline – Time To Sell?

According to the CryptoQuant analyst with the name ‘burakkesmeci,’ this phenomenon has been observed more frequently after the US approved the trading of spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which currently seems to have amplified the significance of CPI as a leading indicator.

The analyst disclosed that for 2024, the data reveals a clear pattern: Bitcoin often faces price corrections when the CPI dips below its SMA14. This specific behaviour points to a bearish sentiment when the index falls short of the moving average, signaling increased selling activity.

Currently, the CPI stands at -0.008, contrasting with the SMA14 at 0.020. This discrepancy according to burakkesmeci “indicates that sellers have a stronger hand in the US market.”

Bitcoin: Coinbase Premium Index.
Bitcoin: Coinbase Premium Index. | Source: CryptoQuant

Bitcoin Market Performance

Looking at Bitcoin’s market performance so far, the phenomenon of a seller-driven market, as indicated by the CPI, appears to hold true. Currently, Bitcoin trades at a price of $65,805, marking a 3% dip in the past 24 hours and roughly 2% in the past week.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView
BTC price is moving downwards on the 1-hour chart. Source: BTC/USDT on TradingView.com

In the past day alone, the asset’s market cap has declined by over $40 billion, a stark contrast to its 24-hour trading volume, which has seen quite the opposite, surging from below $30 billion as of yesterday to as high as $36.7 billion, at the time of writing.

Regardless of the price performance, a handful of crypto analysts remain optimistic. For instance, Crypto Rover, a renowned enthusiast in the crypto space, disclosed that Bitcoin is currently just consolidating inside a notable bull flag pattern.

Related Reading

Bitcoin

Bitcoin ‘Back On Radar’ To Hit $80,000, Then New ATH, Analyst Says

15 hours ago

According to Rover, “This is the worst time to be bearish. The breakout will be massive.”

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Manta Network battles DDoS attack after TGE as new Telegram bot steals the show

Manta Network battles DDoS post-MANTA launch; 135M RPC requests flood, causing delays. Bitbot revolutionizes retail trading on Telegram with non-custodial, AI-backed solutions. BITBOT token presale unfolds across 15 stages, offering investors a structured opportunity. In a whirlwind of recent events, Manta Network faced a DDoS attack right after the successful launch of its MANTA token, causing a stir in the crypto community. Meanwhile, Bitbot, a Telegram trading bot, is making waves by empowering retail investors. Jin us as we delve into the challenges Manta Network is facing and explore Bitbot’s mission to put institutional-grade tools in the hands of individual investors. Manta Network DDoS attack Manta Network, a modular blockchain protocol renowned for its focus on zero-knowledge (ZK) application development, encountered a significant setback shortly after the launch of its governance token, $MANTA. The network experienced a Distributed Denial o...
Read more

DOGE price prediction as expert forecasts target above $0.10

Image
With the previous week bringing gains for the cryptocurrency market, some digital assets displayed promising signals that might indicate their future movement. Dogecoin (DOGE) is one of those. The TD Sequential has recently generated a buy signal on the 3-day chart for Dogecoin. The probability of a resurgence to $0.100 or beyond appears favorable, contingent upon the sustained stability of the $0.074 support cluster, per a post on X by crypto analyst Ali Martinez on January 14. TD sequential for Dogecoin on a 3-day price chart. Source: Ali Martinez The TD sequential is a robust tool crafted to pinpoint the precise moment of trend fatigue and subsequent price reversal. As a counter-trend instrument, it addresses the limitations observed in various technical Analysis indicators that prove profitable in trending markets but exhibit suboptimal performance in sideways or ranging markets. Another technical indicator is not so optimistic Many technical indicators should be employed t...
Read more

IRS, Treasury temporarily waive business crypto reporting requirements

IRS and Treasury say businesses do not have to report cryptocurrency receipts until new regulations are issued. In a press release on Jan. 16, the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) said in a joint statement with the U.S. Treasury Department that American business es do not have to report their receipts in crypto currencies the same way they do with cash. However, the regulators noted the exception will only last “until Treasury and IRS issue regulations.” “Treasury and the IRS intend to issue proposed regulations to provide additional information and procedures for reporting the receipt of digital assets, giving the public an opportunity to comment both in writing and, if requested, at a public hearing.” The IRS The announcement does not impact the rules in place before the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act for reporting cash received in the course of a trade or business, the IRS said, adding that cash transactions over $10,000 received in a trade or bu...
Read more